Abstract

This study investigates the panel dynamic relationships between equity markets and currency markets for the four Asian economies over the period January 2001–December 2013 using a panel Granger-causality approach. Over the past 20years, Japan, South Korea, Singapore, and Taiwan have integrated themselves together with a high degree of globalization in economic and financial relations. Evidences support the flow-oriented hypothesis of exchange rates that indicates that exchange rates influence stock prices positively via the current account for Japan, and document the stock-oriented hypothesis of exchange rates that states that exchange rates affect stock prices negatively via the capital account for the other three countries. The findings for the short-run and long-run panel Granger-causality tests reveal that bi-directional causality exists between the two variables. The empirical results provide important policy implications for the monetary authorities and the mutual fund managers in the equity markets.

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