Investigating Effect of Temperature Fluctuations on Electricity Consumption in Babolsar

Yadollah Yousefi ,H Amonia ,Kosar Ghaffari

doi:10.5829/ijee.2021.12.01.11

Abstract

One of the most important factors in energy consumption is environmental conditions.This study aims to examine the relationship between temperature and electricity consumption in Babolsar city in Mazandaran province. The main issue in this study is to find different patterns of relationship between temperature and electricity consumption in this city. Daily electricity consumption and daily temperature, were collected from 1 Jan 2010 to 31 Dec 2019, from the Electricity Department and the Babolsar Synoptic Station. Threshold regression method was used to find the breakpoints of the regression line between temperature and power consumption. Findings revealed there were 3 distinct thresholds in the relationship between consumption and temperature. The first threshold was about

Highlights

Energy is a key requirement for the survival of modern societies
Minimum, maximu m and average daily temperatures were used as independent variables in the regression model and it was found that electricit y consumption in Babolsar is more correlated with daily average temperature
Consumption rate in the hot months is fluctuating with temperature and in cold periods with decreasing temperature, electricit y consumption chart is not consistent with temperature fluctuation. linearity between temperature and consumption does not exist, in cold periods

Summary

Introduction

Energy is a key requirement for the survival of modern societies. The role of energy in the industrial development and economic growth of today's world is crucial. In many countries, the need for electricity has not been met in many cities and villages This form of energy cannot be stored and it is very important to manage and forecast the consumption demand [1, 2]. With increasing or decreasing temperature and loss of human comfort, we had to use energy to create the optimal condition by decreasing or increasing ambient temperature. In some parts of the world where the temperature is so moderate people do not use electricit y to create a comfortable environment. The increase in consumption is due to the widespread use of electrical appliances, especially air conditioners, to cool rooms [9], population growth and change of lifestyles. A study of the relationship between cooling degreeday (CDD) and electricity consumption in Kuwait showed that a 10% increase in CDD in the summer months is accompanied by an increase of 100 to 150 million kWh electricity consumption [10]

Objectives

Methods

Results

Conclusion