Investigating different timescales of terrestrial water storage changes in the northeastern Tibetan Plateau

Abstract

The northeastern Tibetan Plateau (NETP), bordering the endorheic lake basins and the Upper Yellow River region, has been disturbed by increasing human activities in recent years. The NETP water storage changes could be a combined effect of climate variability/change and human activities (e.g., reservoir operation). However, whether the human activities have evidently altered hydrological processes and become key drivers of total terrestrial water storage (TWS) changes in the NETP remains unclear. To explore the roles of human interventions in changing surface water storage (SWS) and thus influencing regional TWS changes in the NETP, in comparison with natural drivers, this study quantitatively disaggregated and compared the contributions of TWS changes from climate-dominated natural lakes and man-regulated reservoirs at different timescales. Time series of Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) TWS anomalies (TWSA) exhibited an overall upward trend (0.78 ± 0.06 Gt/yr, p < 0.01) with evident periodic fluctuations from April 2002 to August 2020. Although the GRACE TWSA was more substantially influenced by changes in natural lake water storage (0.96 ± 0.02 Gt/yr) rather than reservoirs (0.54 ± 0.04 Gt/yr) in the long-term trend, the man-regulated reservoir water storage changes can significantly dominate the GRACE TWSA on interannual and intra-annual timescales, especially in the second sub-period (2013.01–2017.06; GRACE TWSA change rate: −1.82 ± 0.29 Gt/yr, p < 0.01, in comparison with the change rate of reservoir water storage of −1.28 ± 0.17 Gt/yr, and the natural lakes of 0.72 ± 0.07 Gt/yr). In some abnormal years, the reservoir storage changes were even close to the overall signal of region-wide GRACE TWSA. In addition, the increase in soil moisture storage (long-term linear trend: 0.65 ± 0.06 Gt/yr, p < 0.01) was also a key factor that cannot be neglected. Our results suggest that human activities are becoming one of the key factors influencing TWS changes in the NETP.