Inversion and Monitoring of the TP Concentration in Taihu Lake Using the Landsat-8 and Sentinel-2 Images

Abstract

Eutrophication is a significant factor that damages the water ecosystem’s species balance. The total phosphorus (TP) concentration is a vital water quality indicator in assessing surface water eutrophication. This paper predicts the spatial distribution of TP concentration using remote sensing, measured data, and the partial least squares regression (PLSR) method. Based on the correlation analysis, the models were built and tested using the TP concentration and Sentinel-2 Multispectral Instrument (MSI) and Landsat-8 Operational Land Imager (OLI) image spectra. The results demonstrated that the best technique based on band combinations of the Sentinel-2 and Landsat-8 images achieved good precision. The coefficient of determination (R2), root mean square error of prediction (RMSEP), and residual prediction deviation (RPD) were 0.771, 0.023 mg/L, and 2.086 for Sentinel-2 images and 0.630, 0.032 mg/L, and 1.644 for Landsat-8 images, respectively. The TP concentration maps were interpolated using the inverse distance weighting method, and the inversion results obtained from the images were in good agreement. The western and northwestern regions of Taihu Lake, where significant cyanobacterial blooms occurred, had TP concentrations greater than 0.20 mg/L; nevertheless, the central and eastern regions had amounts ranging from 0.05 to 0.20 mg/L. In order to prove the extensibility of the model, the optimal algorithm was applied to the Sentinel-2 and Landsat-8 images in 2017. The optimal algorithm based on Landsat-8 images has a better verification effect (RMSEP = 0.027 mg/L, and R = 0.879 for one Landsat-8 image), and the optimal algorithm based on Sentinel-2 images has moderate verification effect (RMSEP = 0.054 mg/L and 0.045 mg/L, and R = 0.771 and 0.787 for two Sentinel-2 images). The interpolation and inversion maps are in good agreement, indicating that the model is suitable for the Landsat-8 and Sentinel-2 images, which can be complementary for higher temporal resolutions. Monitoring water quality using multiple remote sensing images can provide the scientific basis for water quality dynamic monitoring and prevention in China.