Abstract

Climate change is altering precipitation patterns, with higher frequency and magnitude of extreme events. Specifically, longer and more pronounced waterlogged conditions are predicted after rain spells as well as more frequent droughts, especially in Central Europe. Such hydrological changes can severely affect species performance and alter the function of ecosystems, as well as favor plant invasions. Competition with native communities may change depending on water stress. Bunias orientalis is an invasive plant that may benefit from disturbance or precipitation changes. We conducted a 3-year mesocosm experiment in a common garden to investigate how invasion success of B. orientalis in native German grassland communities is affected by varying hydrological conditions (from very dry to waterlogged). We measured the establishment and growth of B. orientalis in varying water table depths in bare soil (simulating disturbance) vs. in the community. Establishment and biomass of B. orientalis was generally highest under non-stress conditions. The species was also highly tolerant to dry conditions, but only when growing in bare soil. However, performance of B. orientalis was generally low, whereby interspecific competition in communities greatly limited invasion success. This might be due to the low competitive ability of the species in conditions of hydrological stress and the near-natural grassland communities with an extensive mowing regime used in our experiment. Our results suggest that invasion success of B. orientalis in grasslands will not increase if precipitation patterns change toward more extreme events. However, disturbance that creates bare soil patches might favor B. orientalis under drought conditions.

Highlights

  • Climatic change leads to changes in precipitation patterns as well as higher frequency and magnitude of extreme events, which are projected to increase further during the 21st century for many areas (IPCC, 2014)

  • We focus on how invasion success of B. orientalis in native grassland communities in Germany may change with varying hydrological conditions that are expected under climate change

  • We conducted a 3-year mesocosm experiment in a common garden focusing on the invasion success of the warty cabbage

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Summary

Introduction

Climatic change leads to changes in precipitation patterns as well as higher frequency and magnitude of extreme events, which are projected to increase further during the 21st century for many areas (IPCC, 2014). In regions that overall receive more precipitation such as Central Europe (IPCC, 2014), hydrological change is predicted to severely affect soil moisture, causing longer and more pronounced waterlogged conditions after extreme rain spells and flooding. Southern Germany has been demonstrated to be a geographical center in terms of deficit volumes of precipitation and duration of drought (Laaha et al, 2017). Such changes in water availability affect plant growth, and can change patterns of competition and facilitation between plants (Walter, 2018)

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