Abstract

Abstract This paper introduces the 2018 wave of the Egypt Labor Market Panel Survey (ELMPS), previously fielded in 1998, 2006, and 2012. The ELMPS has already become the primary source of data for a large number of scholarly and policy studies on the labor market and human development issues in Egypt, and this new wave will further enhance its value as a critical data public good. This longitudinal survey is nationally representative, tracking both households and individuals over two decades. In this paper, we describe the key characteristics of the 2018 wave, including sampling, fielding, and questionnaire design. Changes in the collection of retrospective data starting in 2018 are discussed, and we demonstrate that they improved the data quality. We examine the patterns of attrition and present the construction of weights designed to correct for attrition, as well as to ensure that the sample remains nationally representative. We compare the ELMPS data with other Egyptian data sources, namely, the 2017 Census and various rounds of the Labor Force Survey (LFS). The data provide important new insights into Egypt's labor market, economy, and society.

Highlights

  • The 2018 wave of the Egypt Labor Market Panel Survey (ELMPS) is the fourth wave of a longitudinal survey carried out by the Economic Research Forum (ERF) in cooperation with the Egyptian Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics (CAPMAS).1 The 2018 wave follows previous waves in 1998, 2006, and 2012

  • When we focus on the demographic outcomes, we compare ELMPS 2018 with Labor Force Survey (LFS) 2014, LFS 2017, and Census 2017.16 We include two rounds of the LFS because, as we will show below, we observed a substantial difference in demographic outcomes starting in LFS 2015 that continued through LFS 2017

  • We present the 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of each labor market indicator calculated from the ELMPS

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Summary

Introduction

The 2018 wave of the Egypt Labor Market Panel Survey (ELMPS) is the fourth wave of a longitudinal survey carried out by the Economic Research Forum (ERF) in cooperation with the Egyptian Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics (CAPMAS). The 2018 wave follows previous waves in 1998, 2006, and 2012. The panel design of the survey offers substantial advantages over pooled cross-sectional data by allowing for a more accurate assessment of change over time that controls for both observable and unobservable individual and household characteristics It allows for a unique perspective on life course transitions by allowing researchers to link life course outcomes like education, marriage, childbearing, migration, and employment to the individual’s household characteristics during childhood and adolescence. The 2016 wave of the JLMPS added a 3,000-household refresher sample that oversampled neighborhoods with a high proportion of non-Jordanian households to allow for in-depth examinations of the effects of the Syrian refugee influx on Jordanian society and the situation of migrants and refugees in Jordan (Al-Hawarin et al, 2021; Assaad et al, 2018; El-Mallakh and Wahba, 2018; Fallah et al, 2019; Krafft and Assaad, 2021a; Malaeb and Wahba, 2018). We discuss the design of the questionnaires, sample, and fielding practices

Questionnaires
Data collection
The 2012 sample
Panel sample
The 2018 refresher sample
Calculation of Attrition and Sample Weights
Weights for panel and split households
Weights for refresher sample
Combined sample weights
Improvements in Retrospective Data Collection
Comparisons with Other Data Sources for Egypt
Demographic comparisons
Labor market outcome comparisons
Types of employment
Unemployment rates
Conclusions
Limitations
Findings
Directions for future research

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