Abstract

Abstract. Numerical weather prediction systems still employ many simplifications when assimilating microwave radiances under all-sky conditions (clear sky, cloudy, and precipitation). For example, the orientation of ice hydrometeors is ignored, along with the polarization that this causes. We present a simple approach for approximating hydrometeor orientation, requiring minor adaption of software and no additional calculation burden. The approach is introduced in the RTTOV (Radiative Transfer for TOVS) forward operator and tested in the Integrated Forecast System (IFS) of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). For the first time within a data assimilation (DA) context, this represents the ice-induced brightness temperature differences between vertical (V) and horizontal (H) polarization – the polarization difference (PD). The discrepancies in PD between observations and simulations decrease by an order of magnitude at 166.5 GHz, with maximum reductions of 10–15 K. The error distributions, which were previously highly skewed and therefore problematic for DA, are now roughly symmetrical. The approach is based on rescaling the extinction in V and H channels, which is quantified by the polarization ratio ρ. Using dual-polarization observations from the Global Precipitation Mission microwave imager (GMI), suitable values for ρ were found to be 1.5 and 1.4 at 89.0 and 166.5 GHz, respectively. The scheme was used for all the conical scanners assimilated at ECMWF, with a broadly neutral impact on the forecast but with an increased physical consistency between instruments that employ different polarizations. This opens the way towards representing hydrometeor orientation for cross-track sounders and at frequencies above 183.0 GHz where the polarization can be even stronger.

Highlights

  • Clouds containing ice hydrometeors are considered among the greatest ambiguities in both climate and numerical weather prediction (NWP) modeling systems (Duncan and Eriksson, 2018)

  • Radiative transfer simulations are conducted by means of RTTOV-SCATT (Bauer et al, 2006); this model accounts for multiple-scattering radiative transfer at MW and submillimeter frequencies and is part of the RTTOV package (Saunders et al, 2018)

  • An effort has been carried out to improve the physical representation of polarized scattering in RTTOV-SCATT (Radiative Transfer model for TOVS that accounts for multiple scattering) and to explore whether such an improvement would have an impact on the forecast of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)

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Summary

Introduction

Clouds containing ice hydrometeors are considered among the greatest ambiguities in both climate and numerical weather prediction (NWP) modeling systems (Duncan and Eriksson, 2018). In particular (and the focus of this study), oriented nonspherical ice hydrometeors are known to cause the observed brightness temperature (TB) differences between vertical (V ) and horizontal (H ) polarization. This is denoted as the polarization difference (PD = TBV − TBH), owing to different scattering properties between V and H polarization (the dichroism effect; Davis et al, 2005). Evans and Stephens (1995a, b) simulated the sensitivity of polarized microwave (MW) frequencies (between 85.5 and 340.0 GHz) to nonspherical horizontally oriented ice hydrometeors They reported a positive polarization signal, which increases with frequency.

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