Abstract

This article proposes a risk assessment method based on interval intuitionistic integrated cloud Petri net (IIICPN). The cloud model is widely used in data mining and knowledge discovery, especially in risk assessment problems with linguistic variables. However, the cloud models proposed in the literature do not express interval-valued intuitionistic linguistic satisfactorily, and the reasoning methods based on the cloud models cannot perform risk assessment well. The work in this article includes the definition of IIIC and IIICPN, the method of converting the interval-valued intuitionistic uncertain linguistic numbers into IIIC, and the reasoning method of IIICPN. As proofs, a subway fire accident model is adopted to confirm the feasibility of the proposed method, and comparison experiments between the IIICPN with general fuzzy Petri net and the trapezium cloud model are conducted to verify the superiority of the proposed model. <italic xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">Note to Practitioners</i> —This work deals with the subway fire risk assessment problem. It proposes a cloud model based on interval-valued intuitionistic uncertain linguistic and builds a cloud-based Petri net model. The methods of fire risk assessment use the existing fault trees or aggregation operators to combine all the factors into consideration, but they do not take the interaction of factors. The goal of this work is to assess the risk of subway fire accident of subway, using fuzzy linguistic decision variables. The simulation results indicate that the proposed method is highly effective. The obtained results can help assessors better determine which factors may cause the disaster.

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