Interpretation of the case fatality rates of covid-19 in Iraq

Abstract

Objectives: Documentation the risk of the COVID-19 in.Iraq is occurred by interpretation of the case fatality rate (CFR) across a period of time. and different regions. This could highlight the reason behind the rapid spreading of COVID-19 among Iraqi population.Methods: in this work we introduced and applied a protocol to evaluate and elucidate the behavior of the case fatality rate (CFR) of COVID-19 at different regions in Iraq. This evaluation was performed across 6 months (27th March - 27th September). All data of COVID-19 pandemic in Iraq were obtained from the websites of Health Ministry in Iraq (https://moh.gov.iq/).Results: During the study period, Baghdad score is the highest fatality rate compering with other cities flowed by Basara then Babylon. Baghdad has the highest CFR value (8.5) compared with Arbil and Mosil have 2.5 and 3.19 respectively, in which are better than (Baghdad, Basra and Babil) there was more than 50% less than Baghdad. Furthermore, Babylon city ranks the first in terms of the death rate among population (0.25%) and (0.0017%) to Iraq population. The reason behind that could be related to the population density in the rural area, and the lag during transfer COVID-19 patients to specialized tertiary. On the other hand, Mosil had the lowest death rate population (0.012%) compared with other cities in this study.Conclusion: Comparing fatality rate and death rate of COVID-19 pandemic across different Iraqi cities would help to illustrate the strength and spreading rate of the pandemic.