Abstract

BackgroundLymphopenia is known for its significance on poor survivals in breast cancer (BC) patients. Considering full dosimetric data, this study aimed to develop and validate predictive models for lymphopenia after radiotherapy (RT) in BC. Material and methodsBC patients treated with adjuvant RT were eligible in this multicenter study. The study endpoint was lympopenia, defined as the reduction in absolute lymphocytes and graded lymphopenia after RT. The dose-volume histogram (DVH) data of related critical structures and clinical factors were taken into account for the development of dense neural network (DNN) predictive models. The developed DNN models were validated using external patient cohorts. ResultsTotally 918 consecutive patients with invasive BC enrolled. The training, testing, and external validating datasets consisted of 589, 203, and 126 patients, respectively. Treatment volumes at nearly all dose levels of the DVH were significant predictors for lymphopenia following RT, including volumes at very low-dose 1 Gy (V1) of organs at risk (OARs) including lung, heart and body, especially ipsilateral-lung V1. A final DNN model, combining full DVH dosimetric parameters of OARs and three key clinical factors, achieved a predictive accuracy of 75 % or higher. ConclusionThis study demonstrated and externally validated the significance of full dosimetric data, particularly the volume of low dose at as low as 1 Gy of critical structures on lymphopenia after radiation in BC patients. The significance of V1 deserves special attention, as modern VMAT RT technology often has a relatively high value of this parameter. Further study warranted for RT plan optimization.

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