Abstract

PurposeThis study investigates an under-researched yet fundamental question of how a developed country multinational enterprises (DMNE) perceives and manages political risks when undertaking infrastructure projects in the emerging markets (EMs).Design/methodology/approachThe authors use an abduction-based qualitative research approach to analyze six international project operations of a multinational enterprise originating from Finland in five EMs.FindingsThe findings suggest that the overall nature of political risks in EMs is not the same, except few political risk factors that are visible in most EMs. Consequently, the applied risk management mechanisms vary between EMs, except with few common mechanisms. The authors develop an integrative analytical framework of political risk management based on the findings.Originality/valueThis paper is one of the first studies to identify political risk factors for western MNEs while undertaking international project operations and link them to reduction mechanisms used by them. The authors go beyond the notion of risk being conceptualized at a general level and evaluate 20 specific political risk factors referred to in extant literature. The authors further link these political risk factors with both social exchange and transaction cost theories conceptually as well as empirically. Finally, the authors develop a relatively comprehensive analytical framework of political risk management based on the case projects' findings that combine several strands of literature, including the social exchange theory, transaction cost theory, international market entry, project management and finance literature streams.

Highlights

  • Emerging markets (EMs) are major drivers of global economic growth (Gilpin, 2018)

  • Despite the widespread agreement among researchers regarding the importance of managing political risks (Dandage et al, 2018; Kardes et al, 2013; Mullner, 2016), little theoretical and empirical progress has been made toward exploring the nature of political risks and the mechanisms that developed country multinational enterprises (DMNE) use to manage the political risks while undertaking International project operations (IPOs) in EMs

  • Our exploratory case study reveals that DMNE identifies the political risks and decides the mechanisms to manage them at the commencement of the “project preparation and development” stage of project development

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Summary

Introduction

Emerging markets (EMs) are major drivers of global economic growth (Gilpin, 2018). Market liberalization, along with a higher economic growth rate, growing middle-income class and cheap and skilled labor in EMs, has brought immense opportunities for developed country multinational enterprises (DMNEs). According to McKinsey and Company (2017), an investment of US$3.7tn (i.e. 4.1% of the world gross domestic product (GDP)) is required in economic infrastructure annually until 2035, and 63% of this investment is needed in EMs. Further, Oxford Economics (2017) reports that two-thirds of infrastructure investment in EMs will be required for logistics (road, rails, etc.) and power sector developments. Oxford Economics (2017) reports that two-thirds of infrastructure investment in EMs will be required for logistics (road, rails, etc.) and power sector developments These expanding investments in the infrastructure development in EMs, especially in logistics and power sectors, are attracting DMNEs to take infrastructure projects in EMs (Kardes et al, 2013)

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