Abstract

(1) ~~~~~~r, = r* + Xl (1) r1=?x where r, is the current yen interest rate on bonds with a term to maturity of length 1, r* is the dollar interest rate on bonds with a term to maturity of length 1, and xl is the expected average rate of appreciation of the dollar against the yen over the time period 1. Further, suppose that purchasing power parity holds even in the short run. Then, x1 will be determined by the difference in the expected rates of inflation between Japan and the United States as

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