Abstract
This paper investigates the links among expected real interest rates across countries and also those between international expected real interest rates and U.S. fiscal policy. We analyze the cross-sectional mean of international ex-post real interest rates as an estimator for the mean international expected real interest rate. Our results strongly reject the international expected real interest rate parity hypothesis; reveal that U.S. budget deficits have no independent effects on international real rates given the impact of U.S. government defense spending; and suggest that forces other than U.S. fiscal policy account for the post-1980 rise in international real rates.
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