Abstract

Prior to the emergence of COVID-19, when influenza was the predominant cause of viral respiratory tract infections (VRTIs), this study aimed to analyze the distinct biological abnormalities associated with influenza in outpatient settings. A multicenter retrospective study was conducted among outpatients, with the majority seeking consultation at the emergency department, who tested positive for VRTIs using RT-PCR between 2016 and 2018. Patient characteristics were compared between influenza (A and B types) and non-influenza viruses, and predictors of influenza were identified using two different models focusing on absolute eosinopenia (0/mm3) and lymphocyte count <800/mm3. Among 590 VRTIs, 116 (19.7%) were identified as outpatients, including 88 cases of influenza. Multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed the following predictors of influenza: in the first model, winter season (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 7.1, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.12-45.08) and absolute eosinopenia (aOR 6.16, 95% CI 1.14-33.24); in the second model, winter season (aOR 9.08, 95% CI 1.49-55.40) and lymphocyte count <800/mm3 (aOR 7.37, 95% CI 1.86-29.20). Absolute eosinopenia exhibited the highest specificity and positive predictive value (92% and 92.3%, respectively). During the winter season, specific biological abnormalities can aid physicians in identifying influenza cases and guide the appropriate use of antiviral therapy when rapid molecular tests are not readily available.

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