Abstract

The paper examines the effect on system reliability evaluation methods of the limited size of interconnection capacity and the correlation of load magnitude between neighbouring utilities. Mathematical models are developed for both correlated and uncorrelated loads including in each case the effect of transmission capacity limitations. Uncertainty in the load magnitude of a neighbouring system is also modelled. The case of several radial interconnections requires only a repetition of the procedure. The models have been included in a general purpose interconnected system reliability evaluation program. The problems of higher orders of correlation are briefly examined in conclusion.

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