Intercomparison of precipitation datasets for summer precipitation characteristics over East Asia

Abstract

Precipitation data in the Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) and in four reanalysis datasets, ERA-Interim, MERRA, NCEP/NCAR, and JRA, are compared against the CPC Merged Precipitation (CMAP) in the cyclostationary empirical orthogonal function (CSEOF) space to evaluate these datasets in representing the summer precipitation characteristics over East Asia. CSEOF analysis is applied to each dataset, and regression analysis is performed in the CSEOF space with the CMAP data as the target. The regression analysis establishes one-to-one correspondence between the CSEOF loading vectors of the target variable and those of the predictors, i.e., GPCP and the four reanalysis datasets. The loading vectors of the GPCP data coincide almost exactly with those of the CMAP data, i.e., the two observation-based precipitation datasets represent practically identical summer precipitation characteristics over East Asia. The reanalysis datasets also reproduce the first five CSEOF modes reasonably; however, performance of NCEP/NCAR is notably lower than others. The re-constructed precipitation using the first five regressed CSEOF modes of the reanalysis datasets are well correlated with that of the CMAP data with reasonably large correlation coefficients, suggesting that these reanalysis precipitation products reliably simulate the major summer precipitation characteristics in East Asia. All of the four reanalysis products commonly show noticeable errors in representing the summer rainfall over the mid-latitude ocean to the south of Japan, the tropical western Pacific, tropical/subtropical regions including the Indochina Peninsula, India, the Maritime Continent, and regions of complex terrain especially those characterized by strong orographic slopes around the Tibetan Plateau. The errors over the regions of complex orography and coastal lines may be partially due to the inability of reanalysis models in simulating the effects of complex terrain and the lack of observations in these sparsely populated regions.