Abstract

In the first part of this paper, monthly precipitation data from Precipitation Estimation from Remotely Sensed Information using Artificial Neural Networks–Climate Data Record (PERSIANN-CDR) and Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission 3B42 algorithm Version 7 (TRMM-3B42V7) are evaluated over Iran using the Generalized Three-Cornered Hat (GTCH) method which is self-sufficient of reference data as input. Climate Data Unit (CRU) is added to the GTCH evaluations as an independent gauge-based dataset thus, the minimum requirement of three datasets for the model is satisfied. To ensure consistency of all datasets, the two satellite products were aggregated to 0.5° spatial resolution, which is the minimum resolution of CRU. The results show that the PERSIANN-CDR has higher Signal to Noise Ratio (SNR) than TRMM-3B42V7 for the monthly rainfall estimation, especially in the northern half of the country. All datasets showed low SNR in the mountainous area of southwestern Iran, as well as the arid parts in the southeast region of the country. Additionally, in order to evaluate the efficacy of PERSIANN-CDR and TRMM-3B42V7 in capturing extreme daily-precipitation amounts, an in-situ rain-gauge dataset collected by the Islamic Republic of the Iran Meteorological Organization (IRIMO) was employed. Given the sparsity of the rain gauges, only 0.25° pixels containing three or more gauges were used for this evaluation. There were 228 such pixels where daily and extreme rainfall from PERSIANN-CDR and TRMM-3B42V7 could be compared. However, TRMM-3B42V7 overestimates most of the intensity indices (correlation coefficients; R between 0.7648–0.8311, Root Mean Square Error; RMSE between 3.29mm/day-21.2mm/5day); PERSIANN-CDR underestimates these extremes (R between 0.6349–0.7791 and RMSE between 3.59mm/day-30.56mm/5day). Both satellite products show higher correlation coefficients and lower RMSEs for the annual mean of consecutive dry spells than wet spells. The results show that TRMM-3B42V7 can capture the annual mean of the absolute indices (the number of wet days in which daily precipitation >10 mm, 20 mm) better than PERSIANN-CDR. The results of daily evaluations show that the similarity of Empirical Cumulative Density Function (ECDF) of satellite products and IRIMO gauges daily precipitation, as well as dry spells with different thresholds in some selected pixels (include at least five gauges), are significant. The results also indicate that ECDFs become more significant when threshold increases. In terms of regional analyses, the higher SNR of the products on monthly (based on the GTCH method) and daily evaluations (significant ECDFs) is mostly consistent.

Highlights

  • Accurate estimation of precipitation is critical for a comprehensive understanding of hydrological and climate analyses, especially for arid countries such as Iran

  • In order to compare the dominant behavior of the satellite datasets for detection of precipitation extremes, scatter-plots, correlation coefficients and the RMSE are derived between gauge data (GAUGE) and satellite datasets for the annual means

  • In order to intercompare the extreme precipitation which is important for hydroclimate studies, the annual mean of 10 extreme indices introduced by ETCCDI (Table 1) are calculated for PERSIANNCDR, TRMM-3B42V7, and GAUGE data for 228 selected pixels that include at least 3 gauges for the period 1998–2007, for which the GAUGE daily dataset is available

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Summary

Introduction

Accurate estimation of precipitation is critical for a comprehensive understanding of hydrological and climate analyses, especially for arid countries such as Iran. The period selected for the monthly evaluation was 1998–2007, which overlaps with the period for which IRIMO data are available The reason for this comparison is to assess the relative accuracy of the recently released PERSIANN-CDR, which is a 33 + years, high-resolution (daily, 0.25°) satellite product suitable for the study of hydrologic extremes. In addition to extreme evaluation, we compared the ECDFs of daily precipitation as well as dry spells with different thresholds (2.5, 5, and 10 mm/day) in seven selected 0.25° pixels that include at least five gauges for PERSIANN-CDR, TRMM-3B42V7, and GAUGE We chose these pixels based on the regional performance of the satellite products at monthly scales.

Study area and datasets
Datasets
Methods
The generalized three-cornered hat method
Extreme indices
Kolmogorov-Smirnov test
Evaluations and Intercomparison
Monthly analysis
Daily analysis
Summary and conclusions
Full Text
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