Abstract

Vertical deformations of the Earth’s surface result from a host of geophysical and geological processes. Identification and assessment of the induced signals is key to addressing outstanding scientific questions, such as those related to the role played by the changing climate on height variations. This study, focused on the European and Mediterranean area, analyzed the GPS height time series of 114 well-distributed stations with the aim of identifying spatially coherent signals likely related to variations of environmental parameters, such as atmospheric surface pressure (SP) and terrestrial water storage (TWS). Linear trends and seasonality were removed from all the time series before applying the principal component analysis (PCA) to identify the main patterns of the space/time interannual variability. Coherent height variations on timescales of about 5 and 10 years were identified by the first and second mode, respectively. They were explained by invoking loading of the crust. Single-value decomposition (SVD) was used to study the coupled interannual space/time variability between the variable pairs GPS height–SP and GPS height–TWS. A decadal timescale was identified that related height and TWS variations. Features common to the height series and to those of a few climate indices—namely, the Arctic Oscillation (AO), the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), the East Atlantic (EA), and the multivariate El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) index (MEI)—were also investigated. We found significant correlations only with the MEI. The first height PCA mode of variability, showing a nearly 5-year fluctuation, was anticorrelated (−0.23) with MEI. The second mode, characterized by a decadal fluctuation, was well correlated (+0.58) with MEI; the spatial distribution of the correlation revealed, for Europe and the Mediterranean area, height decrease till 2015, followed by increase, while Scandinavian and Baltic countries showed the opposite behavior.

Highlights

  • Dipartimento di Fisica e Astronomia (DIFA), University of Bologna, 40126 Bologna, Italy; Abstract: Vertical deformations of the Earth’s surface result from a host of geophysical and geological processes

  • The interannual variations observed in the residual time series of the GPS Up coordinate of the 114 stations are compared, by means of the Single-value decomposition (SVD) approach, with those present in the residual time series of the surface pressure (SP) and terrestrial water storage (TWS)

  • Because in our study no significant correlations were found between the Up component and the Arctic Oscillation (AO), North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), and East Atlantic (EA) indexes, we only describe the correlation with the MEI

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Summary

Introduction

Dipartimento di Fisica e Astronomia (DIFA), University of Bologna, 40126 Bologna, Italy; Abstract: Vertical deformations of the Earth’s surface result from a host of geophysical and geological processes. This study, focused on the European and Mediterranean area, analyzed the GPS height time series of 114 well-distributed stations with the aim of identifying spatially coherent signals likely related to variations of environmental parameters, such as atmospheric surface pressure (SP). We may recall solid-Earth tides, the glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA), the loadings, such as the pressure exerted by the atmosphere, the liquid water and the snow, seismic activity, volcanic eruptions, sedimentation, landslides, and ground fluid exploitation Except for tides, these motions are typically an order of magnitude smaller than the horizontal deformation [1]. New observational capabilities allow monitoring, in a global reference system and with a high degree of accuracy, both horizontal and vertical velocities of stations located on the Earth’s surface Space geodetic observations, such as those acquired by GPS systems (Global Positioning System) and by InSAR imaging In the framework of studies conducted to assess published maps and institutional affiliations

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