Abstract

Interannual and long-term variability of the low level jetstream (LLJ) of the Asian summer monsoon during June to September was studied using reanalysis wind data. In order to study the variability, the domain of the LLJ covering the Indian and west Pacific Oceans was divided into six regions (boxes) based on their physical characteristics. The long term variability of LLJ and its relation with Indian monsoon rainfall and El Nino index were analysed. The low level circulation over Indian Ocean becomes weak during the positive phase of El Nino Southern Oscillation leads to warmer sea surface temperature over Indian Ocean. The strength of the low level jet over India depends on the convective heating of the atmosphere and not on the strength of the south Indian Ocean trade wind (ITz) which remains a passive component of the LLJ. The LLJ flow through peninsular India is weaker and the flow south of peninsular India is stronger during the recent decades in association with increasing number of break monsoon days. The cross equatorial flow over west Pacific Ocean has statistically significant increasing trend related to the increasing convection in the west Pacific Ocean.

Highlights

  • The economy of India depends heavily on agriculture and is strongly influenced by the Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall (ISMR) during June to September which accounts for more than 70% of the annual rainfall of India

  • Strength of the level jetstream (LLJ) zonal wind components CAz and PIz depend on the convective heating of the atmosphere and not on the strength of the trade winds in south Indian Ocean (ITz) which remains a passive component of the LLJ on the interannual time scale

  • Strength of the LLJ zonal wind components CAz, PIz and NPz depend on the convective heating of the atmosphere and not on the strength of the trade winds of south Indian Ocean ITz, which remains a passive component of the LLJ on the interannual time scale

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Summary

Introduction

The economy of India depends heavily on agriculture and is strongly influenced by the Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall (ISMR) during June to September which accounts for more than 70% of the annual rainfall of India. There is considerable variation in monsoon rainfall of India from year to year. Both internal and external factors control this inter-annual variability. Findlater (1969a) showed that this LLJ is cross-equatorial and had its origin in the easterly trade winds of the south Indian Ocean. Findlater (1969b) showed that this LLJ accounted for nearly half of the global inter-hemispheric transport of air in the lower troposphere during the monsoon season June to September LLJ turned westerly over the Arabian Sea, and passed through peninsular India and the Bay of Bengal. Findlater (1969b) showed that this LLJ accounted for nearly half of the global inter-hemispheric transport of air in the lower troposphere during the monsoon season June to September

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