Abstract

To establish the carbon emission trading scheme and achieve the carbon emission reduction goals in China, it is critical to allocate the carbon emission allowance (CEA). Using the entropy method and the modified fixed cost allocation model (MFCAM), we calculated the CEA and the carbon emission intensity (CEI) reduction targets of 30 Chinese provinces in 2030, from four principles (equity-efficiency-feasibility-sustainability) and three dimensions (economy-society-environment). The results are shown as follows. First, China's total carbon emissions in 2030 calculated in this paper are 17567.9 Mt. Second, on the whole, CEA in China's southeast half of the Hu line is higher than that in the northwest half. Eastern China has a larger final CEA than western China and central China. Third, Henan, Guangdong, Shandong, and Jiangsu are the four provinces with the most CEA, while Gansu, Qinghai, Ningxia, and Hainan are the four regions with the least carbon allowances. Fourth, the regions of Shanxi, Shaanxi, Xinjiang, Ningxia, Inner Mongolia, Guizhou, and Anhui will take on greater responsibility for carbon reduction in the future. On the contrary, the zones of Tianjin, Qinghai, Guangxi, Jilin, Yunnan, and Beijing will be able to sell CEA in the future. Fifth, provinces are divided into three categories from the perspective of CEI reduction. Finally, we put forward relevant policy recommendations based on the conclusions.

Highlights

  • The sustainable development of contemporary human beings is facing the severe challenge of global warming.To cope with this challenge, countries around the world have made persistent efforts and implemented many mitigation and adaptation measures

  • In the Copenhagen Climate Change Conference, China promised it would reduce its carbon emission intensity (CEI) by 40-45% in 2020 compared to the level of 2005 (Cui et al 2014). It marks that China has entered the era of quantitative control of carbon emission reduction

  • From 2011 till China has opened the prelude of managing climate change with the participation carbon trading market, to effectively control carbon emission, China has placed local pilots of carbon emission trading, and constructed and improved the national carbon market

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Summary

Introduction

The sustainable development of contemporary human beings is facing the severe challenge of global warming. To cope with this challenge, countries around the world have made persistent efforts and implemented many mitigation and adaptation measures. In the Copenhagen Climate Change Conference, China promised it would reduce its CEI by 40-45% in 2020 compared to the level of 2005 (Cui et al 2014). It marks that China has entered the era of quantitative control of carbon emission reduction. China pledges to peak CO2 emissions by around 2030 and strive to achieve it as soon as possible, and by 2030, reduce CO2 per unit of GDP by 60-65%

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