Intelligent Prediction of Multi-Factor-Oriented Ground Settlement During TBM Tunneling in Soft Soil

Abstract

Tunneling-induced ground surface settlement is associated with many complex influencing factors. Beyond factors related to tunnel geometry and surrounding geological conditions, operational factors related to the shield machine are highly significant because of the complexity of shield-soil interactions. Distinguishing the most relevant factors can be very difficult, for all factors seem to affect tunneling-induced settlement to some degree, with none clearly the most influential. In this research, a machine learning method is adopted to intelligently select features related to tunneling-induced ground settlement based on measured data and form a robust non-parametric model with which to make a prediction. The recorded data from a real construction site were compiled and 12 features related to the operational factors were summarized. Using the intelligent method, two other features in addition to cover depth–pitching angle and rolling angle–were distinguished from among the 12 feature candidates as those most influencing the settlement trough. Another new finding is that advance rate does not emerge in the top 10 selected models from the observational data used. The generated non-parametric model was validated by comparing the measured data from the testing dataset and performance on a new dataset. Sensitivity analysis was conducted to evaluate the contribution of each factor. According to the results, engineers in general practice should attend closely to pitching angle during tunnel excavation in soft soil conditions.