Intelligent prediction model of a polymer fracture grouting effect based on a genetic algorithm-optimized back propagation neural network

Abstract

Polymer grouting can effectively improve the stability of surrounding rock fractures. However, in practical construction, it is difficult to judge the degree of coupling between the slurry and the rock, and the effective grouting range after grouting. Therefore, early prediction of the effect of grouting on the surrounding rock is crucial. In this paper, a new artificial intelligence method is proposed to predict the polymer fracture grouting effect. The genetic algorithm optimized back propagation neural network (GA-BP) is employed to construct an intelligent prediction model. To acquire a substantial dataset for constructing the model, an easily assembled/disassembled test apparatus for polymer fracture grouting is designed. The maximum coupling degree of the fractures and slurry diffusion distance are chosen as the evaluation metrics for the grouting effectiveness. The influences of the fracture characteristic parameters and grouting volume on the grouting effect are investigated. Furthermore, a comprehensive analysis is conducted on the spatiotemporal diffusion characteristics and slurry-rock coupling mechanism of polymer grouting. Compared to traditional BP neural networks, and three other machine learning algorithms (decision trees, random forests and gradient boosting decision trees), the GA-BP model outperforms them in terms of R2 (coefficient of determination), MSE (mean squared error), MBE (mean bias error), MAE (mean absolute error) and RMSE (root mean squared error) in both the test and training sets. The GA algorithm significantly improves the accuracy and robustness of the prediction model. The optimized model demonstrates significant accuracy in predicting grouting results and assessing efficiency, providing a practical reference for grouting construction.