Intelligent evaluation of implementation road infrastructure development program

Abstract

The problem of development of transport infrastructure of settlements is considered. The application of a target-oriented approach for solving the problem is associated with the necessity to monitor and evaluate the implementation of individual stages of the program implemented within the framework of a public-private partnership, which requires specialized information and analytical support. In this paper, an approach to the development of intellectual tools for linguistic analysis of programs for the development of road and street infrastructure of settlements is proposed. The approach allows taking into account a high level of uncertainty in assessing the technical, economic, social and environmental aspects during the implementation of the program stages. Taking into account these aspects, a hierarchy of typical target indicators is constructed in the form of a system of linguistic variables. The relationships between the indicators of neighboring tiers reflect knowledge about the subject area and are described by fuzzy production rules. The transition from one tier to another is implemented as a procedure based on Mamdani’s fuzzy inference algorithm. Using the proposed tools allows you to assess the degree of implementation of individual stages of the program and, if necessary, change the scenario of its implementation.