Abstract

Condition-based maintenance (CBM) is a maintenance strategy that reduces equipment downtime, production loss, and maintenance cost based on the changes in machine condition (e.g., changes in vibration, power usage, operating performance, temperatures, noise levels, chemical composition, and debris content). A newly developed condition monitoring model (CMM) is developed based on Bayesian decision theory, which takes vibration signals from a rotating machine and classifies them to either the normal or abnormal state. A conditional risk function is defined, which is calculated based on a loss table and the posterior probabilities. Using the conditional risk funciton, the machine condition can be classified to either the normal or abnormal condition. The developed model can efficiently avoid unnecessary maintenance and take timely actions through analyzing the received vibration signals from the machine. However, the vibration signals sometimes may not be sensed, transmitted, or received precisely due to unexpected situations. Therefore, a fuzzy Bayesian model for condition monitoring of a system is proposed. A program is coded in visual basic to run the models. Illustrative examples are demonstrated to present the application of both models.

Highlights

  • 1.1 BACKGROUNDIn recent years, developed industrial systems have needed reliable machining systems

  • Pattern recognition is essential for our life, and we have developed complicated neural and cognitive systems for such tasks over the past tens of millions of years. 3.1.1 MACHINE PERCEPTION

  • There exists a point around t=30 hours, at which the equipment works under abnormal condition resulting in damage to the equipment in the long run

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Summary

Introduction

1.1 BACKGROUNDIn recent years, developed industrial systems have needed reliable machining systems. Over $300 billion is spent on plant maintenance and operations by U.S industry each year, and it is estimated that approximately 80% of this amount is to correct the chronic failure of machines, systems, and people (Latino, 1999). This chapter aims at developing a fuzzy Bayesian condition monitoring model based on an exponential distribution for the signals that sometimes may not be sensed, transmitted, or received precisely due to unexpected situations. It is assumed the fuzzy signals are fuzzy random variables with fuzzy prior distribution.

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