Abstract

As part of this contribution, we will illustrate the effectiveness of the Bayesian approach in estimating durations; we suggest a new definition of the Kaplan Meier Bayesian estimator based on a stochastic approximation under an informative prior. For this reason, based on the lognormal distribution, we have unconjugated a priori distributions. This method of processing makes it possible to assume that the use of the a priori data with the various suggested methods is sensitive to the choices of the parameters added.

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