Integrating Reliability in Conceptual Design Trade‐Off Analysis: A look at the Literature

Abstract

AbstractThis research focuses on developing models to estimate the system reliability of Unmanned Ground Vehicles using knowledge and data from similar systems. Reliability is often a stand‐alone requirement and not always fully included in performance and life cycle cost models. Traditional reliability approaches require detailed knowledge of a system and are used in later design sta ges as well as development, operational test and evaluation, and operations. The critical role of reliability and its impact on acquisition program performance, cost, and schedule motivates the need for improved system reliability models in the early design stages. This research seeks to integrate reliability, performance, and cost models in a trade‐off analysis framework in the early acquisition stages. This research uses functional analysis methods to estimate reliability Pre‐Milestone A and assess the impact of reliability on performance and cost models of early system concepts. This research us es technology readiness level (TRL), which is indexed, to assess different levels of reliability for design. An integrated cost and performance model will inform decision ‐makers on the impact of reliability before choosing a system concept for further development.