Abstract

Conceptual and methodological advances in population and evolutionary ecology are often pursued with the ambition that they will help identify demographic, ecological and genetic constraints on population growth rate (λ), and ultimately facilitate evidence-based conservation. However, such advances are often decoupled from conservation practice, impeding translation of scientific understanding into effective conservation and of conservation-motivated research into wider conceptual understanding. We summarise key outcomes from long-term studies of a red-billed chough Pyrrhocorax pyrrhocorax population of conservation concern, where we proactively aimed to achieve the dual and interacting objectives of advancing population and evolutionary ecology and advancing effective conservation. Estimation of means, variances and covariances in key vital rates from individual-based demographic data identified temporal and spatial variation in subadult survival as key constraints on λ, and simultaneously provided new insights into how vital rates can vary as functions of demographic structure, natal conditions and parental life history. Targeted analyses showed that first-year survival increased with prey abundance, implying that food limitation may constrain λ. First-year survival then decreased dramatically, threatening population viability and prompting emergency supplementary feeding interventions. Detailed evaluations suggested that the interventions successfully increased first-year survival in some years and additionally increased adult survival and successful reproduction, thereby feeding back to inform intervention refinements and understanding of complex ecological constraints on λ. Genetic analyses revealed novel evidence of expression of a lethal recessive allele, and demonstrated how critically small effective population size can arise, thereby increasing inbreeding and loss of genetic variation. Population viability analyses parameterised with all available demographic and genetic data showed how ecological and genetic constraints can interact to limit population viability, and identified ecological management as of primacy over genetic management to ensure short-term persistence of the focal population. This case study demonstrates a full iteration through the sequence of primary science, evidence-based intervention, quantitative evaluation and feedback that is advocated in conservation science but still infrequently achieved. It thereby illustrates how pure science advances informed conservation actions to ensure the (short-term) stability of the target population, and how conservation-motivated analyses fed back to advance fundamental understanding of population processes.

Highlights

  • Numerous species are currently experiencing substantial declines or threats to global or local persistence, and are subject to statutory or discretionary species-­focussed conservation efforts on international and/or national scales (Hoffmann et al, 2010; Eaton et al, 2015; IPBES, 2019)

  • Because subadult survival probabilities varied more among years than adult survival probabilities, retrospective ‘life table response experiments’ showed that first-­year, second-­year and adult survival contributed similar to variation in λ, with a major overall contribution from the combined subadult class (Reid et al, 2004). These analyses identified that variation in subadult survival could play, and had played, a major role in shaping population dynamics

  • We showed that first-­ year survival probability varied spatially, such that choughs hatched in some areas of Islay were consistently more likely to survive to age 1 year than choughs hatched in other areas (Reid et al, 2006)

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Summary

| INTRODUCTION

Numerous species are currently experiencing substantial declines or threats to global or local persistence, and are subject to statutory or discretionary species-­focussed conservation efforts on international and/or national scales (Hoffmann et al, 2010; Eaton et al, 2015; IPBES, 2019). The probability that an individual would survive to recruit to breed (typically age 3 years), adult life span and total lifetime number of offspring fledged were all positively correlated with mean population breeding success in the natal year, and with underlying environmental conditions (Reid et al, 2003a) These analyses, which utilised recent advances in capture–­mark–­ recapture methodologies, provided evidence of strong and long-­ lasting cohort effects, which had not been widely demonstrated in wild populations (Lindström, 1999). | 28 Jo urnal of Animal Ecology highlight how implementation and full evaluation of conservation interventions, including collateral as well as planned impacts, can feed back to update the understanding of underlying constraints on vital rates and λ (Figure 1) They should provide some optimism, since provision of even relatively little supplementary food increased projected population viability. The key requirements for successful conservation, at least in terms of chough biology, are evident (Trask et al, 2020)

| DISCUSSION
Findings
| Limitations and prospects
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