Integrating advanced soft computing techniques with experimental studies for pore structure analysis of Qingshankou shale in Southern Songliao Basin, NE China

Abstract

Evaluating pore structure of unconventional shale reservoirs enables us to determine their productivity, allowing for better operational decisions. Despite extensive studies in this field, considering the complexity of shale plays, pore structure analysis of such formations still requires novelties and further research. In this study, 10 samples from the Qingshankou Formation (from 5 wells) were analyzed with X-ray diffraction (XRD), programmed pyrolysis, N2 adsorption, and mercury intrusion capillary pressure (MICP). In the next step, several modern intelligent smart models including multilayer perceptron (MLP), radial basis function (RBF), generalized regression neural network (GRNN), cascaded forward neural network (CFNN), and least squares support vector machine (LSSVM), that were optimized by levenberg-marquardt (LM), Bayesian regularization (BR), genetic algorithm (GA), ant colony optimization (ACO), particle swarm optimization (PSO), and differential evolution (DE) algorithms were employed, to estimate the volumes of N2 adsorbed and desorbed based on the mineralogy and geochemical properties of the samples. Results show that samples are mainly composed of clay (up to 42.3 wt%) and quartz (up to 34.6 wt%), low in total organic carbon (TOC) (up to 2.89%) and in the oil generation window. Complexity of smaller pores was found higher compared to medium and larger ones. In addition, deconvolution of N2 adsorption pore size distribution (PSD) curve revealed that samples are composed of up to three families in the range of macropore size and different families in mesopore size. We found that LSSVM with applicability to the entire input dataset, outperformed all other models in predicting the amount of nitrogen adsorption and desorption with an average absolute percent relative error (AAPRE) value of 1.94%. Ultimately, clay minerals and potash feldspar had the greatest effect on increasing and decreasing the amount of nitrogen adsorbed and desorbed, respectively. The Leverage technique's findings demonstrate that more than 97% of total data points in the LSSVM model are in the valid domain. This study proves that smart methods if used properly, would enable us to study a large group of samples independent from exhaustive, time consuming and expensive experimental methods.