Integrated Models of Non-Permanent Information Warfare

Abstract

In the paper, a new Integrated Mathematical Model of Information warfare is built. In the suggested model, by selecting continuous intensity coefficients of aggressiveness of the conflicting parties and the peacemaking activity of a third party, it is possible to describe the process of Non-Permanent Information Warfare with restrictions. The Non-Permanence of Information Warfare is due to an increase in the information confrontation between the two sides over a certain period. In the modeling, Non-Permanent Information Warfare has highlighted a particular boundary value problem. The existence of the solution of the special boundary value problem determines the controllability of the Non-Permanent Information Warfare by the peacekeeping side. The task of the peacekeeping side is to end Information Warfare by the conflicting sides, i.e., to stop them from spreading negative information against each other. By using a computer experiment, various modes of Information Warfare have been studied, depending on the strategies of the sides. In particular, the regime of mutual attenuation of the parties is considered, when the conflicting parties simultaneously increase the amount of information distributed by a certain period and then reduce them. The regime of mutual aggravation is also considered. For each mode of development of Non-Permanent Information Warfare, the problem of controllability is separately studied, and a forecast of development of the process of Information Warfare for different values of parameters of the system is given. For the peacekeeping side management, parameters are proposed - coefficient peacekeeping activity and the level of Information Technology.