Integrated Evaluation and error decomposition of four gridded precipitation products using dense rain gauge observations over the Yunnan-Kweichow Plateau, China

Abstract

ABSTRACT Evaluating the precision and applicability of high-quality precipitation products in the distinctive terrain and intricate climate of the Yunnan-Kweichow Plateau (YKP) is pivotal for climate research. This study comprehensively assesses four gridded precipitation datasets (AERA5-Asia, AIMERG, ERA5-Land, and IMERG-Final) using the China Meteorological Administration’s surface precipitation data. It employs eight statistical indicators and error decomposition methods at various spatiotemporal scales. The main findings are as follows: (1) AERA5-Asia, AIMERG, and IMERG-Final show similar precipitation patterns, with ERA5-Land overestimating. While all display minor seasonal variations, AERA5-Asia underestimates summer rain. ERA5-Land tends to overstate, whereas AIMERG and IMERG-Final are generally accurate but slightly undervalued in southern YKP. (2) Hourly analysis reveals AERA5-Asia leads in performance metrics (CC: 0.23, MAE: 0.49 mm/hour, RMSE: 0.18 mm/hour, CSI: 0.27). In contrast, ERA5-Land lags, marked by the lowest BIAS (35.39%), FAR (0.74), and FBI (2.85). AIMERG and IMERG-Final display comparable results but underperform in CC (0.16, 0.13), POD (0.31, 0.30), and CSI (0.19, 0.18). (3) False bias significantly contributes to the total bias of precipitation products. AERA5-Asia and AIMERG mitigate total bias and enhance false precipitation situations through calibration algorithms, albeit introducing missed bias in the central region of YKP. The study findings offer valuable insights into YKP precipitation, informing the development of grid-based fusion algorithms in the region’s complex terrain.