Integrated Analysis of the Combined Risk of Ground Subsidence, Sea Level Rise, and Natural Hazards in Coastal and Delta River Regions

Qing Zhao,Antonio Pepe,Zhengjie Li,Francesco Falabella,Maochuan Tang,Adam Devlin,Jiayi Pan,Virginia Zamparelli,Pietro Mastro,Qing Xu

doi:10.3390/rs13173431

Abstract

Non-climate-related anthropogenic processes and frequently encountered natural hazards exacerbate the risk in coastal zones and megacities and amplify local vulnerability. Coastal risk is amplified by the combination of sea level rise (SLR) resulting from climate change, associated tidal evolution, and the local sinking of land resulting from anthropogenic and natural hazards. In this framework, the authors of this investigation have actively contributed to the joint European Space Agency (ESA) and the Chinese Ministry of Science and Technology (MOST) Dragon IV initiative through a project (ID. 32294) that was explicitly designed to address the issue of monitoring coastal and delta river regions through Earth Observation (EO) technologies. The project’s primary goals were to provide a complete characterization of the changes in target scenes over time and provide estimates of future regional sea level changes to derive submerged coastal areas and wave fields. Suggestions are also provided for implementing coastal protection measures in order to adapt and mitigate the multifactor coastal vulnerability. In order to achieve these tasks, well-established remote sensing technologies based on the joint exploitation of multi-spectral information gathered at different spectral wavelengths, the exploitation of advanced Differential Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (DInSAR) techniques for the retrieval of ground deformations, the realization of geophysical analyses, and the use of satellite altimeters and tide gauge data have effectively been employed. The achieved results, which mainly focus on selected sensitive regions including the city of Shanghai, the Pearl River Delta in China, and the coastal city of Saint Petersburg in Europe, provide essential assets for planning present and future scientific activities devoted to monitoring such fragile environments. These analyses are crucial for assessing the factors that will amplify the vulnerability of low-elevation coastal zones.

Highlights

There is increased concern relative to the growing urbanization of the world’s lowlying deltaic coastal regions and the related coastal hazards [1,2,3] due to persistent and possibly accelerating sea level rise (SLR)
The Tidal Anomaly Correlation (TAC) approach demonstrated that short-term mean sea level (MSL) and tidal variability is correlated at many locations in the world ocean, results are spatially variable
The TAC approach demonstrated that short-term MSL and tidal variability correlated at many locations in the world ocean, results are spatially variable

Summary

Introduction

There is increased concern relative to the growing urbanization of the world’s lowlying deltaic coastal regions and the related coastal hazards [1,2,3] due to persistent and possibly accelerating sea level rise (SLR). Local relative SLR can be significantly modulated in coastal regions by vertical ground motions (i.e., subsidence phenomena) either due to natural processes (e.g., global isostatic adjustment, tectonics, sediment consolidation and compaction, and upstream sediment load reduction) [4,5,6,7] or induced/influenced by human activities (e.g., groundwater extraction [8], land reclamation [9], building construction, and consolidation [10]). Systems capable of detecting ongoing surface deformation phenomena, recovering their spatial extent on the ground, and following their temporal variability. This is helpful for the subsequent interpretation of natural/anthropogenic processes causing surface motion

Objectives

Results

Conclusion