Insulin-like growth factor-1 and soluble FMS-like tyrosine kinase-1 prospectively predict cancelled IVF cycles.

Abstract

To identify biomarkers that prospectively predict IVF cycle cancellation. In this prospective study, sera were obtained prior to any intervention, from women about to undergo an IVF cycle. The sera were assayed by ELISA for levels of insulin-like growth factor (IGF)-1, IGF-2, IGF binding protein (BP)-1, and soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase (sFLT-1). The cancellation or progression of the IVF cycle was subsequently obtained by chart review. Associations between serum components and outcome were analyzed by the Mann-Whitney test. Receiver operator curves were constructed to evaluate the strength of the correlations between biomarkers and cycle cancellation, as assessed from the area under the curve (AUC). A total of 205 women were included. Twenty-seven (13.2%) cycle cancellations due to poor response were recorded. Women with a cancelled cycle had reduced anti-Mullerian hormone (AMH) values (p < 0.001) and antral follicle count (p = 0.003). There were no significant differences between the two groups with regard to age and BMI. Median concentrations of IGF-1 and sFLT-1 were elevated in sera from women whose IVF cycles were cancelled as compared to those with ongoing cycles (p = 0.015 and p < 0.001, respectively); AUC for IGF-1 and sFLT-1 were 0.67 and 0.75, respectively. Concentrations of sFLT-1 remained significantly higher in patients with cancelled cycles even after controlling for AMH levels. There were no differences in IGF-2 and IGFBP-1 levels between the two groups. Measurement of circulating IGF-1 and sFLT-1 levels prior to initiation of an IVF cycle has the potential to identify women whose cycles have an increased likelihood to be subsequently cancelled.