Abstract

Seismic sequences are a powerful tool to locally infer geometrical and mechanical properties of faults and fault systems. In this study, we provided detailed location and characterization of events of the 3–7 July 2020 Irpinia sequence (southern Italy) that occurred at the northern tip of the main segment that ruptured during the 1980 Irpinia earthquake. Using an autocorrelation technique, we detected more than 340 events within the sequence, with local magnitude ranging between −0.5 and 3.0. We thus provided double difference locations, source parameter estimation, and focal mechanisms determination for the largest quality events. We found that the sequence ruptured an asperity with a size of about 800 m, along a fault structure having a strike compatible with the one of the main segments of the 1980 Irpinia earthquake, and a dip of 50–55° at depth of 10.5–12 km and 60–65° at shallower depths (7.5–9 km). Low stress drop release (average of 0.64 MPa) indicates a fluid-driven initiation mechanism of the sequence. We also evaluated the performance of the earthquake early warning systems running in real-time during the sequence, retrieving a minimum size for the blind zone in the area of about 15 km.

Highlights

  • Seismic sequences are a useful tool to shed light on fault mechanics and geometry, on the chemical and physical processes occurring on faults and to illuminate the preparatory phase of large earthquakes

  • Earthquake location can delineate the geometry of faults [3,6] and following event space and time evolution, it is possible to infer the role of the fluids in seismicity migration [7,8]

  • For this event, using 3 s of P-wave, the on-site earthquake early warning (EEW) system estimated a local intensity of III, and no warning was declared at that station

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Summary

Introduction

Seismic sequences are a useful tool to shed light on fault mechanics and geometry, on the chemical and physical processes occurring on faults and to illuminate the preparatory phase of large earthquakes. When using relative location techniques, such as double differences [3], the accuracy can be pushed down to a decametric scale [4], when relative arrival time determination is performed through cross-correlation [5] With this resolution, earthquake location can delineate the geometry of faults [3,6] and following event space and time evolution, it is possible to infer the role of the fluids in seismicity migration [7,8]. Characterization of the seismic activity during sequences can constrain fault geometry and mechanics in the vicinity of the swarm location This information can be crossed with tomographic models in velocity and attenuation, to get a picture of fluid-filled domains and infer the role of the pore pressure in the stress distribution and release at depth [15]. We analyze the ground motion and the performances of earthquake early warning systems, as real-time risk reduction tools

Structural Setting of Southern Apennines
Seismogenic Normal Faults
Recent Seismicity of the Irpinia Region
Refined Seismic Catalog
Accurate Earthquake Location
Source Parameters
Focal Mechanism Solutions
Ground Motion
Early Warning Analysis
Findings
10. Discussion and Conclusions
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