Abstract
• Data-informed environmental scanning to identify impactful trends • Structured brainstorming to spark creative thinking about implications of trends • Scenario planning to describe plausible but structurally different futures for the AADE (scenario planning, also called scenario thinking or scenario analysis, is a method best suited to turbulent times when it is risky to build plans around a single presumed future; scenarios ensure that the AADE considers a range of possible futures) • Rigorous analysis of the key success factors and strategies that will allow the AADE to thrive under all identified plausible scenarios • Tying the strategies back to programs and operations for accountability
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