Abstract

Linked general equilibrium economic and ecological models are connected through agricultural runoff and the fisheries. They are applied to a North Carolina estuary in which agricultural runoff alters phytoplankton densities and the resulting hypoxia leads to diminished fisheries. The effects of hypoxia on multiple species across space are analyzed and the joint economic and ecosystem wide response to a policy of reduced runoff is quantified. The approach provides an assessment of changes in ecological welfare (in terms of species populations) and economic welfare (in terms of equivalent variations) following reductions in runoff.

Highlights

  • Much of economic modeling involves optimizing behavior by agents who interact in institutions with other optimizing agents to shape equilibrium outcomes

  • Economists postulate that consumers and producers are motivated by utility and profit, and they respond to incentives in the form of prices that are generated by their individual choices within market institutions

  • In a fashion similar to the ecosystem modeling, the economic specification is based on a chosen benchmark year, and the data were used in calibrations to estimate parameters

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Summary

Introduction

Much of economic modeling involves optimizing behavior by agents who interact in institutions with other optimizing agents to shape equilibrium outcomes. In this paper we take as given that integrating economics and ecology for better policy making is appropriate and desirable [3,4,5,6] To this end, we draw upon the numerous similarities between economies and ecosystems to construct linked general equilibrium models of both systems. While there are numerous methods of approaching the problem, the most common method uses individual optimization problems of firms and consumers to derive demand and supply functions These functions describe how these agents react to prices and perturbations in other variables, and they are used to construct the equilibrium conditions of the model. If the numbers of individuals cease to change, a steady state is said to be attained

The Structure of GEEM in the Neuse
Nutrient Loading and Phytoplankton
Spatial Migration between Channels
Application to the Neuse River Estuary—Parameterization
Application to the Neuse River Estuary—Results
N Loading
Reduction in N from Nbau
Policy Breakeven Croaker Valuations
Discussion
Details of the Economic Model
Findings
Economy Parameterization
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