Inhomogeneous maps and mathematical theory of selection

Abstract

In this paper we develop a theory of general selection systems with discrete time and explore the evolution of selection systems, in particular, inhomogeneous populations. We show that the knowledge of the initial distribution of the selection system allows us to determine explicitly the system distribution at the entire time interval. All statistical characteristics of interest, such as mean values of the fitness or any trait can be predicted effectively for indefinite time and these predictions dramatically depend on the initial distribution. The Fisher Fundamental theorem of natural selection (FTNS) and more general the Price equations are the famous results of the mathematical selection theory. We show that the problem of dynamic insufficiency for the Price equations and for the FTNS can be resolved within the framework of selection systems. Effective formulas for solutions of the Price equations and for the FTNS are derived. Applications of the developed theory to some other problems of mathematical biology (dynamics of inhomogeneous logistic and Ricker model, selection in rotifer populations) are also given. Complex behavior of the total population size, the mean fitness (in contrast to the plain FTNS) and other traits is possible for inhomogeneous populations with density-dependent fitness. The temporary dynamics of these quantities can be investigated with the help of suggested methods.