Inhomogeneities and trends in the surface ozone record (1988–1996) at Jungfraujoch in the Swiss Alps

Abstract

Ozone data at the Jungfraujoch Observatory (3580 m asl) in the Swiss Alps have been recorded continuously since 1986 in the framework of the Swiss National Air Pollution Monitoring Network (NABEL), operated by the Swiss Federal Laboratories for Materials Testing and Research (EMPA). The long-term ozone record (1988–1996) was examined with regard to potential inhomogeneities using Zugspitze (2960 m asl), a neighbouring alpine site in Germany, as a reference site. The Alexandersson test (for shift) and the Easterling–Peterson test (for trend and shift) were applied to a difference times series, calculated from monthly ozone means at Jungfraujoch and Zugspitze. The Alexandersson test revealed a significant shift discontinuity in November 1989 and the Easterling–Peterson test a trend discontinuity in September 1991. It is assumed that the shift discontinuity may be related to an instrument change, but there is not firm evidence due to lack of detailed information from the instrumental history in the earlier years of the ozone record at Jungfraujoch. Monthly ozone means at Davos (1640 m asl) in eastern Switzerland indicate that part of the trend discontinuity in September 1991 may be of natural origin. Adjustment of the monthly ozone means at Jungfraujoch for the observed shift discontinuity removed the inhomogeneity in November 1989, and reduced the trend discontinuity by a factor of 4.8. A trend analysis on both adjusted (homogenised) and unadjusted monthly ozone means (1988–1996) at Jungfraujoch showed no statistically significant linear trend. The boundaries encompassing the true linear trend are indicated by two linear regression calculations on both adjusted and unadjusted data. Trends in the cold season are positive albeit not significant. The only statistically significant trends are found in October, December, and February for the adjusted data.