Abstract

China is promoting sustainable economic development through urbanisation, but migrants’ low settlement intention has become an obstacle to the urbanisation process. The key leading to this problem is that the current economic system lacks an index with high information transparency to convey the characteristics of the destination city, so that migrants’ choice of settling city is a kind of act of chance. By referring to Roemer’s equality of opportunity theory, this paper takes the indexes of inequality of opportunity (IO) and inequality of effort (IE) of the destination as market signals representing the characteristics information of destination, innovatively proposes an information transmission mechanism to improve migrants’ settlement intention. According to the IO and IE of the destination, migrants can effectively identify the economic incentive modes and social characteristics of the destination city before migration, and then make an accurate judgment on the possibility of realizing income growth and social integration in the destination. The feasibility of this mechanism was verified by the data of China Labor-force Dynamics Survey (CLDS). The result indicates that IO and IE can indeed convey information about economic incentives of the destination and attract migrants to settle down there. In addition, IE can convey positive messages on two social characteristics of the destination, namely, promotion fairness and social network, while IO sends negative messages on both aspects. Cities that plan to expand their population scale can leverage this mechanism to optimise their IO and IE indexes, so as to attract migrants to settle down in the city.

Highlights

  • Accepted: 18 April 2021China’s economy is going through a structural shift, where consumption has become an essential engine for economic growth

  • Based on the above analysis, this paper proposes the first hypothesis to be tested, in order to test the feasibility of the information transmission between the two market signals and settlement intention in terms of the economic incentive mode of the destination

  • Based on the results above, we found that inequality of opportunity (IO) and inequality of effort (IE) can effectively transmit information on the economic incentives of the destinations, the fairness of social atmosphere, and the strength of social relations

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Summary

Introduction

Accepted: 18 April 2021China’s economy is going through a structural shift, where consumption has become an essential engine for economic growth. The urbanisation of the permanent resident population, where China’s largest domestic demand potential and development momentum lies, supports implementing the strategy of boosting domestic demand and stabilising economic growth [1]. In recent times the government has committed to urbanising the mobile population. According to macro data from 2017, China’s domestic mobile population was 244 million, accounting for 17.55% of the total population [2], of which 48.7% expressed a clear desire to settle [3].

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