Abstract
This article presents the results of research using computer technology and mathematical modeling in relation to hydrodynamic processes that determine such natural disasters as landslides and mudflows common in the territory of the Kyrgyz Republic. A specialized website is proposed, which contains the results of scientific research on natural and man-made disasters and exogenous geological processes (EGP). The following systems were used as the main database management systems (DBMS): MS Access, My SQL and PostgreSQL. Thus, the main means of developing computer programs and computational procedures are Delphi, Python, Visual Basic, Java and JavaScript. Web technologies and the following software tools were used to design and create the site: Python, JavaScript, PhP and HTML. Modern level of scientific research presumes and obliges development and using of new information technologies. In this regard there was defined a problem on mathematical modelling and information technologies using for research and forecasting of EGP on the territory of Kyrgyzstan. There are proposed hydrodynamic models and numerical methods of their solution. Information system is developed for landslides, mudflows, and other EGP types, typical for Kyrgyzstan.
Highlights
As reported by the Ministry of Emergency of the Kyrgyz Republic, there are currently about 5,000 modern landslides on the territory of the Kyrgyz Republic
This paper proposes a specialized website that contains the results of scientific research on natural and manmade disasters, exogenous geological processes (EGP), possible breakthrough turbulent flows that pose a threat to hydraulic structures and other national economic and technical facilities, communications, etc
It is depicted that hydrodynamic processes, fluid filtration and fluid infiltration in landslides and mudslides are among the main factors of the emergence, formation and activation of EGP in our country
Summary
As reported by the Ministry of Emergency of the Kyrgyz Republic, there are currently about 5,000 modern landslides on the territory of the Kyrgyz Republic. Due to the activation of interacting modern geodynamic movements, seismicity, rise of groundwater level, abnormal amount of precipitation, as well as engineering and economic activity of man in mountain areas, the number of landslides increases annually [1, 6, 9, 23]. “...During 2015, the number of intensified landslides amounted to 11 occurrence in Jalal-Abad, Batken, Osh, Naryn region and the city of Osh. Due to predictive data the reliability of the place of activation of landslides is up to 85 %, and in terms of capacity and expected time up to 85 %...”[23]. Natural emergencies include dangerous meteorological phenomena (rainfall, hail, strong winds, snowfall and frost, drought, etc.), erosion of banks, and subsidence in loess and clay soils, avalanches, rock falls and others
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