Abstract

Flying Horse Coffee is one of the well-known brands of ground coffee in Padang. Each period this coffee company produces large quantities of coffee, so that the manufacture of coffee only refers to the maker. Therefore, it is important to plan on the amount of coffee production so that the Company does not experience large losses due to the remaining unsold coffee because it is not precise in determining the amount of production. The purpose of this study was to determine the amount of coffee production prediction accurately in preparing the required resources. This study uses Monte Carlo Logic in planning the amount of production. The Monte Carlo method is one of the sciences that developed the same way of thinking as humans and can analyze problems that contain elements of uncertainty. The data that is processed is data on demand, supply and production based on the results of per period reports. Results This study uses the Monte Carlo method to predict the amount of coffee production accurately, from testing 44 samples of test data. The Monte Carlo method can predict the amount of production so that it can be used as a recommendation for the Company in predicting the amount of coffee production optimally. And then the company can minimize losses caused by inappropriate production

Highlights

  • Monte Carlo logic can be used in various fields, such as

  • It is necessary to plan the amount of production so that the company can provide the right decision on the optimal amount of production

  • The method used is Monte Carlo to be placed in a dormitory and based on the data used

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Summary

Introduction

Monte Carlo logic can be used in various fields, such asAlong with technological developments in the industrial sector, industrial companies can survive in industrial market competition. Monte Carlo logic can be used in various fields, such as. To produce optimal production for the company to be more effective and efficient in increasing production by using all available resources. For this reason, it is necessary to plan the amount of production so that the company can provide the right decision on the optimal amount of production. The method used is Monte Carlo to be placed in a dormitory and based on the data used. The Flying Horse Coffee Company is a company such as Interview Scores, Questionnaire Values , and engaged in the production of coffee. The data tested were 19 samples coffee is one of the well-known brands in the city of by comparing the results of expert research, the results

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