Abstract

Rapid influenza diagnosis can facilitate targeted treatment and reduce antibiotic misuse. However, diagnosis efficacy remains unclear. This study examined the efficacy of a colloidal gold rapid test for rapid influenza diagnosis. Clinical characteristics of 520 patients with influenza-like illness presenting at a fever outpatient clinic during two influenza seasons (2017–2018; 2018–2019) were evaluated. The clinical manifestations and results of routine blood, colloidal gold, and nucleic acid tests were used to construct a decision tree with three layers, nine nodes, and five terminal nodes. The combined positive predictive value of a positive colloidal gold test result and monocyte level within 10.95–12.55% was 88.2%. The combined negative predictive value of a negative colloidal gold test result and white blood cell count > 9.075 × 109/L was 84.9%. The decision-tree model showed the satisfactory accuracy of an early influenza diagnosis based on colloidal gold and routine blood test results.

Highlights

  • Seasonal influenza is an acute viral infection that affects people of all age groups worldwide

  • The results of the decision tree analysis revealed that clinical symptoms did not determine the diagnosis of influenza

  • This study used decision tree analysis to show that a colloidal gold test and routine blood tests can increase the accuracy of the rapid diagnosis of influenza

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Summary

Introduction

Seasonal influenza is an acute viral infection that affects people of all age groups worldwide. According to World Health Organization (WHO) estimates, influenza viruses infect between 5 and 15% of the global population, causing an estimated 3–5 million severe cases and up to 650,000 respiratory deaths a year[1,2]. Craddock et al.[3] reported that 17.2 and 25.4% of viral acute upper respiratory tract infections (AURTI) were inappropriately treated with antibiotics at urban internal medicine (IM) and family medicine (FM) ambulatory care clinics, respectively. A previous study reported that, among 6136 patients with acute respiratory infections (ARIs), 2522 (41%) had diagnoses for which antibiotics are not indicated; 2106 (84%) patients were diagnosed as having a viral upper respiratory tract infection or bronchitis[4]

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