Influential factors analysis on the survival time of patients infected with tuberculosis and HIV

Abstract

To investigate the predictors that reduced the survival time on HIV positive TB patients during their first year's anti-TB therapy. A retrospective study was conducted to review 519 TB/HIV co-infection patients from an Internet based TB surveillance system. We collected information of demography, HIV status, CD4+ lymphocytes count, antiretroviral therapy (ART), sputum smear results of diagnosis and around 2 months' initiation of anti-TB therapy, et al. Wilconxon rank sum test was used to compare the difference of age and CD4+ lymphocytes, count and Cox Uni-variable, and Multi-variable analysis were used to compare the different distribution of rest of risk elements between the groups of death and survival; survival function also has been used to evaluate the top 4 risk elements that have made negative impact on the survival time of HIV positive TB patients during their first year's anti-TB therapy. Among 519 TB/HIV patients, 84 (16.18%) were dead, 435 (83.82%) survived. Median age (P50 (P25-P75)) in survival was 51.0 (41.0-65.0), while in death was 45.0 (35.0-60.0) (U=-2.68, P=0.007). There was significant difference between survival and death. Median CD4+ lymphocyte count in survival and death (P50 (P25-P75)) were 69.00 (26.00-131.20) and 114.50 (35.00-245.00), respectively, significant difference also has been observed. Based on the Cox analysis, patients with less than 2 months' intensive anti-TB therapy, poor treatment adherence, less than 4 months continue anti-TB therapy and sputum smear positive around 2 months initiation of anti-TB therapy had higher risk of death, the Relative Risk value (RR) were 1 100.40 (95% CI: 105.62-11,470.00), 52.91 (95% CI: 27.42-102.13), 49.43 (95% CI: 6.38-382.81), and 15.83 (95% CI: 2.55-98.40), respectively. Log-rank test results showed that there were significant difference between survival and death groups with anti-TB intensive therapy duration (Log-Rank value was 236.0, P<0.001), adherence (Log-Rank value was 302.9, P<0.001), and sputum smear results around 2 months' anti-TB initiation (Log-Rank value was 7.55, P=0.006). Known HIV positive, less CD4+ lymphocyte count, not initiation of ART, sputum smear positive, around 2 months' initiation of anti-TB therapy, not enough anti-TB therapy duration of intensive and continue period and poor treatment adherence were the predictors of death of HIV positive TB patients in the first year's anti-TB therapy.