Influencing Factors of Farmers’ Land Circulation in Mountainous Chongqing in China Based on A Multi-Class Logistic Model

Abstract

The orderly circulation of land can affect the structure of the agricultural industry, improve the level of agricultural industrialization, and realize the sustainable development of agriculture. Located in the inland of southwest China, Chongqing is the core area of China’s Three Gorges Reservoir area, with obvious mountain characteristics. The characteristics and influencing factors of land transfer here can guide the reformation of land policy in other rural areas. Therefore, based on the survey data of 1015 mountain farmers in Chongqing, this paper employs a multi-class logistic model to analyze the above issues. The results show the following: (1) The phenomena of “zero rent” and “non-agreement” are widespread, and the spontaneous internal transfer among farmers is the main influencing factor. The decline in land value, the low degree of foreign investment, and the low average level of farmers’ understanding of land transfer policies are quite different from the economically developed plains in the east. (2) Different directions of land circulation have different influencing factors. (3) The main factors are the total population of rural households, the proportion of non-agricultural household income, the age of the head of the household, the education level of the head of the household, the degree of land division, and the quality of land grades that affect land transfer and development in mountainous areas. Thus, improving the education level or technological training of farmers, establishing effective market mechanisms, and increasing income from non-agricultural employment can effectively promote land transfer. Moreover, age-oriented land policy is easier to implement.