Influencing Factors, Energy Consumption, and Carbon Emission of Central Heating in China: A Supply Chain Perspective

Guixian Liu,Zhaoyang Kong,Xin Wan,Ke Wang,Xiucheng Dong,Chade Li,Jiajia Dong,Qingzhe Jiang,Jiaman Li

doi:10.3389/fenrg.2021.648857

Abstract

The rapid growth of energy demand in China’s central heating sector and the large differences in regions have posed challenges to its energy supply safety, which affected the progress of China’s energy transformation. From a supply chain perspective, this study uses the feasible generalized least squares method to conduct empirical research on the central heating data of 17 provinces in China from 2006 to 2017. The results shows that the main factors of central heating includes energy consumption structure, heat generation method, heat transport carrier, heating degree days and heating area; The main factor that increases the energy consumption of central heating in each province is the same, namely Heating area (HA). However, the main factors that reduce energy consumption in each province are different; using gas instead of coal for clean heating can reduce some greenhouse gas emissions while bringing huge gas supply pressure. According to the results, this study provides some policy suggestions.

Highlights

In recent decades, global warming has become an environmental issue of widespread concern (Dong et al, 2020a; Zhang et al, 2021b)
The results shows that the main factors of central heating includes energy consumption structure, heat generation method, heat transport carrier, heating degree days and heating area; The main factor that increases the energy consumption of central heating in each province is the same, namely Heating area (HA)
The BP value of the random effects model is greater than the critical value of 1%, rejecting the null hypothesis, which means that the random effects model is better than the ordinary mixed regression model

Summary

Introduction

Global warming has become an environmental issue of widespread concern (Dong et al, 2020a; Zhang et al, 2021b). The rapid increase in carbon dioxide emissions is considered to be one of the main causes of global warming (Dong et al, 2020b). Zhang et al (2020a) points out that carbon emissions in the field of central heating are the main contributors to global greenhouse gas emissions. Heating sector has been developing rapidly in recent years because it has been supported consistently by Chinese government as an important component of China’s infrastructure (Lin and Lin, 2017). The Central Heating in China heat consumption in the district heating sector increased by 0.8 billion GJ(Giggio) from 2006 to 2017, reaching 6.6 billion GJ

Methods

Results

Conclusion