Abstract

Recently, we have been facing serious concerns related to rapid aging and a very low birthrate in Japan, and it is widely known that the population will start to decrease rapidly after its peak in 2006. Migration is one of the most fundamental and important problems in national land planning. The aim of this study is to clarify the influence of development of transportation facilities and the existence of historical trunk roads on migration. In order to achieve this aim, a migration model between regions presented by the regional difference in utility and degree of relationship between regions was constructed. This model was applied to the analysis of migration in Japan. The estimation result of the model was found to be satisfactory. It was clarified that variables representing the condition of transportation facilities have a major effect on migration and accuracy of the model is improved by these variables.

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