Influence of cross correlation between nominal load and resistance on reliability-based design for simple linear soil-structure limit states

Abstract

Cross correlations between nominal load and resistance terms in limit state functions for geotechnical soil–structure interaction problems can be expected. A closed-form solution for the reliability index for a simple linear limit state function is used to examine the influence of nominal load and resistance correlations on computed margins of safety. The formulation also includes the contribution of the underlying accuracy of the load and resistance equations (method bias) and bias dependencies with the magnitude of nominal load and resistance values assumed in the limit state design function. Sensitivity analyses and example problems for the external sliding limit state for a cantilever wall and the pullout limit state for internal stability of reinforced soil walls with different soil reinforcement types are presented. Ignoring nominal correlations where they exist is shown to underestimate the reliability index in some cases and to overestimate the reliability index in other cases. In the example problems, these differences are shown to exceed one order of magnitude in terms of probability of failure, but in the sensitivity analyses using a wider range of input parameter values, the differences can be several orders of magnitude.