Abstract

This paper focuses on the impact of solar activity changes on rainfall in Nigeria. Rainfall data were got from Gridded Time Series (CRU TS v4) of the University of East Anglia, United Kingdom. Various statistical tools like Pearson rank correlation coefficient, regression analysis, covariance, skewness, and kurtosis are employed in the study. The results show that there are generally weak correlations between rainfall and solar activity in most seasons. However, low correlation coefficients (0.0424 and 0.1040, respectively for sunspot numbers and F10.7 mean a very weak positive relationship between early rainfall, main rainfall and annual rainfall and negative for dry season rainfall and Harmattan rainfall. Also, there is a negative time-series relationship between the rainfall amount in dry and Harmattan seasons, with the highest rainfall amount during low solar activity and vice versa. Therefore, it can be concluded that solar activity has little effect on Nigeria's annual and main season rainfall. However, during the dry season and Harmattan, heavy rainfall appears to be associated with low solar activity, while high solar activity appears to be associated with low rainfall. This study will be beneficial to farmers in Nigeria, majority of whom are peasant farmers that practice rain-fed farming.

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