Inflow Prediction of Centralized Reservoir for the Operation of Pump Station in Urban Drainage Systems Using Improved Multilayer Perceptron Using Existing Optimizers Combined with Metaheuristic Optimization Algorithms

Abstract

Owing to the recent increase in abnormal climate, various structural measures including structural and non-structural approaches have been proposed for the prevention of potential water disasters. As a non-structural measure, fast and safe drainage is an essential preemptive operation of a drainage facility, including a centralized reservoir (CRs). To achieve such a preemptive operation, it is necessary to predict the inflow of the drainage facilities. Among the drainage facilities, CRs are located downstream of the drainage area, and their pump stations are operated according to the CR water level. The water level of a CR depends on the inflow, as does the preemptive operation of its pump station. In this study, as a nonstructural measure, the inflow prediction for the CR operation in an urban drainage system was proposed. For predicting the inflow of a CR, a new multilayer perceptron (MLP) using existing optimizers combined with a self-adaptive metaheuristic optimization algorithm, such as an improved harmony search, was proposed. Compared with the adaptive moment, which yields the best results among other existing optimizers, an MLP using an existing optimizer combined with an improved harmony search improves the mean square error and mean absolute error by 0.1767 and 0.0349, respectively.