Abstract

Liver transplantation (LT) for primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is complicated by recurrence of PSC (rPSC) in up to 25% of recipients. Recurrence has been shown to be detrimental for both graft and patient survival. For both PSC and rPSC, a medical cure is not available. To predict and ideally to prevent rPSC, it is imperative to find risk factors for rPSC that can be potentially modified. Therefore, we aimed to identify such factors for rPSC in a large international multicentre study including 6 centres in PSC-prevalent countries. In this international multicentre, retrospective cohort study, 531 patients who underwent transplantation for PSC were included. In 25% of cases (n= 131), rPSC was diagnosed after a median follow-up of 6.72 (3.29-10.11) years post-LT. In the multivariable competing risk model with time-dependent covariates, we found that factors representing an increased inflammatory state increase the risk for rPSC. Recurrent cholangitis before LT as indication for LT (hazard ratio [HR] 3.6, 95% CI 2.5-5.2), increased activity of inflammatory bowel disease after LT (HR 1.7, 95% CI 1.08-2.75), and multiple acute cellular rejections (HR: non-linear) were significantly and independently associated with an increased risk of rPSC. In contrast to the findings of previous studies, pretransplant colectomy was not found to be independently protective against the development of rPSC. An increased inflammatory state before and after LT may play a causal and modifiable role in the development of rPSC. Pretransplant colectomy did not reduce the risk of rPSC per se. Recurrent cholangitis as indication for LT was associated with an increased risk of rPSC. Recurrence of PSC (rPSC) negatively affects survival after liver transplant (LT). Modifiable risk factors could guide clinical management and prevention of rPSC. We demonstrate that an increased inflammatory state both before and after LT increases the incidence of rPSC. As these are modifiable factors, they could serve as targets for future studies and therapies. We also added further evidence to the ongoing debate regarding preventive colectomy for rPSC by reporting that in our multicenter study, we could not find an independent association between colectomy and risk of rPSC.

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