Industrial-scale anaerobic Co-digestion (ACoD) of palm oil mill effluent (POME) and decanter cake (DC) for maximizing methane yield: An integrated machine learning and simulation-based economic analysis approach

Abstract

This study employs machine learning (ML) algorithms, including multiple linear regression (MLR), decision tree (DT) and support vector regression (SVR) to predict the methane yield from the anaerobic co-digestion (ACoD) of palm oil mill effluent (POME) and decanter cake (DC) in an industry-scale anaerobic covered lagoon. Results showed that the DT model outperformed the other models with a high R2 value of 0.9763 and the lowest MAE, MSE, and RMSE values. It exhibited over 95 % similarity to the actual results, validating its effectiveness in capturing real-world scenarios. Optimisation was conducted using response surface methodology (RSM) to achieve maximum biogas production (14,245 m3/day) and methane yield (0.285 Nm3 CH4/kg CODremoved), where the optimal range of pH, organic loading rate (OLR) and dilution ratio of DC were found to be 6.83–6.94, 0.82–0.83 kg COD/m3. day and 0.09–0.11 respectively. The ACoD process was simulated, and an economic analysis was performed using SuperPro Designer v10.6. ACoD of POME and DC was more economically viable than mono-digestion of POME, with a 43.16 % improvement in return on investment (ROI), considering the trade-off between the additional cost of pre-treating DC and the additional revenue from improved biogas production using ACoD.